Expert-based energy scenarios are mainly developed following assumptions of experts and, in most cases, a limited number of stakeholders. Such an approach will provide satisfactory results in centrally managed energy sectors where further decisions could be envisaged relatively precisely (electricity production/distribution, district heating systems, etc.). The same approach will provide more uncertain outcomes of future energy structure in the household sector, where decisions related to consumption, selection of energy source, or application of specific technology are made by numerous ...
Boban Pavlović, Marija Živković, Dejan Ivezić. "Agent-based modeling as a support to an expert-based approach: Exploring individual heating systems transition" in South East European Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems 22 – 26 May 2022, Vlorë, Albania, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb (2022)